Russia talks a lot about having the right to dominate Georgia, the Ukraine, and other countries but when push comes to shove they will back down form a direct hot conflict with the U.S. They know that is a conflict they can not win and will suffer dramatically. But they are not above using others as surrogates to fight America. This is a very safe way for them to challenge us. If things go bad they can just let their surrogates take all the heat; after all Russians were just engaged in comers what the customer does with their purchases is not their concern.
So Russia is selling arms of all kinds to Venezuela, Syria, and Iran; three avowed enemies of America. I am not talking just about Kalashnikovs. This shopping cart is full of heavy tanks, missiles (of all types), the latest jets Russia has, and Venezuela for sure is trying to buy submarines. I am sure that in the case of a major war breaking out in the Middle East Iran is a panting customer for submarines to mess with the Strait of Hormuz.
The following scenario is really not far fetched. Syria and Hizbollah attack Israel. Israel retaliates and kicks serious but all the way to Syria. Iran goes to “defend” its alia and lobs some bodacious long range missals into Israel. Not all missals reach their target but tiny Israel is decimated. Their military already strained by war in the north and is in no position to fully retaliate against Iran. The U.S. comes to the aid of Israel which Iran anticipated so they block the Strait of Hormuz, fires missals at Saudi oil fields and civilian populations creating havoc. Iraq is not spared either; the oil fields are all blown up. The world has most of its source of oil stopped up. Turkey refuses to allow the use of its air fields and air space. Egypt, Jordan, and Pakistan all denounce U.S. and Israel for aggression.
On America’s southern flank Chavez in Venezuela rants outrage and prepares its missals for attack. He may not have serious intentions to fire but knows that it will force the U.S. to prepare for another front distracting it for the Middle East. Politicians of both parties in Washington start to make political hey from the situation. Congress is turmoil.
Russia just sits back and watches things unfold and prepares to take major advantage of the situation. It overthrows the governments of its former Soviet States and satellites. The U.S. can’t do anything about it and Europe is frozen by indecision but is not speechless. Most of Europe condemns and blames the U.S.
The U.S. is faced with engaging in an all out war on several fronts, including Russia, or retreating to defend it self and salvage as much as possible. That decision will be up to the administration. Will it use the might of the American military and decimate Russia or retreat, allow Russia to become dominate in Europe and the Middle East, and give South America to Hugo Chavez? Will the U.S. be able to survive either scenario and still be the same America?
We are in a time of extreme danger. What action both political and military the U.S. takes will determine the state of the world for decades to come. This is not the time for appeasement or for foolish bravado.
It is time to put the CIA covert operation back into action. Although Hugo has a large circle of support, most of the Venezuelan people are not too happy with him and the morning period of his decent from power would last about thirty New York seconds. He needs to be over thrown and now. This would make the Argentine government think twice before they raise their Marxist colors too high.
The Iranian regime has many internal and external enemies. That situation needs to be exploited and Ahmadinejad along with his cohorts sent to the gallows. That’s right, permanent removal from this life and sent to the land of 72 virgins. If history has thought us anything is that exiling people like them just postpones catastrophic events. Who knows when another Jimmy Carter shows up and reverses all this hard work?
These two actions will take the teeth out of the smelly bear. Syria is of not much good to Russia since it won’t have Iran to back it up. As matter of fact it is more likely that Syria will make an about face and make peace with Israel. I don’t mean to infer that Russia will give up its aspirations but it will make things so difficult that it won’t be a problem for a long time. By then things will get screwed up in other parts of the world.
You can plan ahead only so much. The Soviet Union proved that. Before a five year plan comes to fruition things have changed so much that the original plan is as useful as spiting into the wind.
© 2008 by V.V. Cymbal
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